TechnologyLMSR
Will SpaceX successfully land humans on Mars before 2030?
Created by @bob_trader
50%chance of Yes
Volume$28,000
End Date12/31/2029
Creator Fee1%
Description
Market resolves YES if SpaceX successfully lands at least one human on the surface of Mars who survives the landing, before January 1, 2030 UTC.
Resolution Criteria
Official SpaceX announcement + independent verification
Resolution Source
NASA/SpaceX official communications